by
Raymond M. Leuthold
T.A. Hieronymus Professor
Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
and
Min-Kyoung Kim
Graduate Research Assistant
Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Abstract
This study investigates whether U.S. corn merchants can effectively
manage the overnight price risk of cash corn purchased after the Chicago
Board of Trade closes at 1:15 p.m. on either the electronic Project A market
or in the corn contract traded on the Tokyo Grain Exchange. Three scenarios
are examined: 1) overnight hedges; 2) day-to-day hedges; and 3) two-day
hedges. Overnight hedges are the least effective of the three scenarios
on both markets. E*hedging on Project A is more effective than hedging
in Tokyo, yet trading of corn futures contracts on Project A remains relatively
thin and illiquid. Steps need to be taken to encourage more trading of
this contract.